Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.126979 0.136264 0.145889 0.156618 0.168252 0.180495 0.194364
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.109304 0.122607 0.137102 0.154101 0.173534 0.195105 0.220930
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.098971 0.114358 0.131694 0.152741 0.177690 0.206429 0.242198
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.089745 0.106158 0.125150 0.148852 0.177783 0.212129 0.256256
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.083319 0.100567 0.120988 0.147094 0.179784 0.219635 0.272298
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.078956 0.097045 0.118910 0.147477 0.184094 0.229828 0.291858
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.073890 0.092271 0.114895 0.145026 0.184452 0.234771 0.304628
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.070124 0.088870 0.112338 0.144159 0.186612 0.241913 0.320406
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.069028 0.088784 0.113942 0.148676 0.195940 0.258800 0.350067
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.065904 0.085858 0.111641 0.147805 0.197867 0.265674 0.366108
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.062995 0.083053 0.109332 0.146741 0.199371 0.271901 0.381392
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.059735 0.079616 0.105992 0.144050 0.198396 0.274492 0.391406
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.058469 0.078907 0.106417 0.146737 0.205315 0.288869 0.419907
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.055603 0.075866 0.103488 0.144534 0.205083 0.292881 0.433127
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.053266 0.073452 0.101309 0.143263 0.206079 0.298645 0.449200
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.050368 0.070111 0.097659 0.139647 0.203357 0.298610 0.456080
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.048271 0.067834 0.095432 0.138012 0.203500 0.302868 0.469903
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.046897 0.066545 0.094578 0.138368 0.206664 0.311881 0.491830
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.044863 0.064202 0.092073 0.136088 0.205586 0.314116 0.502610
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.043357 0.062586 0.090578 0.135281 0.206759 0.319937 0.519641
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.043270 0.063085 0.092269 0.139484 0.216089 0.339360 0.560943
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.041892 0.061572 0.090833 0.138674 0.217229 0.345323 0.579116
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.040544 0.060056 0.089331 0.137683 0.218002 0.350664 0.596415